How about those Texans? Media reported a Clinton win, based on the primary, which went for her by a close margin, but the cold molasses that passes for an information stream this week projects Obama as a big winner in the caucues, which are the second part of the Texas two-step. According to NPR, he is likely to net three delegates from Texas when all is said and done.Here's my only other insight today, and for this, put on your mathematical thinking cap. I saw a figure showing the "popular vote" between the two having only a three thousand vote difference in the race taken as a whole, thus far. If that number was a combination of caucus and primary results, it's an apples/grapes problem.
Obama does better in caucus states, Clinton does better in primary states.
Good so far? Think of an apple as a caucus vote. It's bigger, and while being only one piece of food, is MORE food. Think of a grape as a primary vote. While being one piece of food, it is LESS food than an apple.
Still good? If Obama has ten apples and five grapes on his table, and Clinton has has twelve grapes and four apples on her table, she has more pieces of food, but less food. Of course, they're both out in the yard picking fruit, so who knows?
The upshot is that any reporting of a so-called popular vote in the primary is misleading, seeming to indicate a level of support for Clinton that isn't really there.
Last thought for the day: when did she stop being Hillary Rodham Clinton? Did it just occur to her one day that it might finally be okay to be closely associated with her husband again?
Andy
0 comments:
Post a Comment